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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings enormous power on the toes and a durable style to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by technical boxers but against the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top competitive striker for the division, he was very aggressive. Perry is strong from the clinch but his takedown defense is still unproven against a valid grappler. Cowboy could exploit the floor game as he has underrated wrestling, however, he tends to struggle with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a frequent issue and here against Perry that might be a significant mistake. He has large power himself but both guys are quite hittable. On the feet it likely favours Perry, at least to the first half of the struggle when he is most dangerous. Look for a back and on war, with all the durability of Perry which makes the gap — as both guys consume serious damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a three fight losing streak but has been aggressive in most fights going back to his KO loss to Ngannou. At 40 years old that he brings a not as aggressive fashion nowadays which has lead to six sequential choices. His output looks to be slowing but his exact boxing fashion stays, permitting him to work behind a jab against slower opponents. Sakai is considerably younger so could still be advancing, but so far has failed to impress. He is big and throws powerful yet slow helpless strikes, with reduced volume. Mostly a boxer, Arlovski won’t have to worry about too many other weapons.
This is very likely to be a slow fight using the effective striker coming out on top. Start looking for Arlovski to prevent exchanges and poke Sakai in the outside or use his wrestling to hold him against the fence. If he can avoid getting caught a decision here is probably for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski at 2.30 (+130) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a serious BJJ blackbelt making her UFC debut with a 14-0 record. She’s jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst restricted with striking, she is relentless with takedowns and has a wide array of methods to get fights to the ground. On top she is very strong, maintaining control and attacking subs. This is obviously a massive step up in competition by Invicta against Esparza, a true veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and hasn’t displayed great takedown shield to coincide with her offensive wrestling skills. She’d be best to attempt to keep this fight standing where her enhanced striking should have the ability to edge out quantity.
Jandiroba isn’t shown at this level but seems to be the real deal, demonstrating outstanding method and composure. Worst case scenario Esparza is able to defend off her back and create scrambles to induce striking exchanges, taking us to a close choice. A better position is Jandiroba dominating with her top control and securing a unanimous conclusion or locating a entry. An Esparza end is very unlikely. Given the chances and respective paths to victory, a shot to the newcomer in money is good price.
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